Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 3.739660 4.463093 5.269562 6.232408 7.347680 8.595781 10.095071
2025-08-31 2.689323 3.611759 4.747430 6.236742 8.125188 10.425614 13.423857
2025-09-07 2.022129 3.000626 4.309249 6.161831 8.686640 11.972888 16.532391
2025-09-14 1.512376 2.455428 3.813089 5.868011 8.847425 12.948274 18.941595
2025-09-21 1.220142 2.144723 3.564229 5.839767 9.316328 14.329617 21.976845
2025-09-28 1.001328 1.894804 3.350075 5.807508 9.741676 15.652898 25.013213
2025-10-05 0.905741 1.825448 3.400322 6.177938 10.799838 17.981760 29.703945
2025-10-12 0.796620 1.708292 3.347525 6.362525 11.567866 19.917612 33.938857
2025-10-19 0.717925 1.630845 3.347801 6.628789 12.484933 22.149505 38.793608
2025-10-26 0.618721 1.492339 3.213396 6.633137 12.945838 23.665408 42.596971
2025-11-02 0.510509 1.311933 2.969427 6.398915 12.952235 24.408589 45.163310
2025-11-09 0.421979 1.154927 2.745106 6.167593 12.929210 25.083006 47.640748
2025-11-16 0.365089 1.060635 2.638978 6.162668 13.341138 26.576175 51.686606
2025-11-23 0.318123 0.980157 2.549837 6.180568 13.798070 28.186561 56.059710
2025-11-30 0.272349 0.891681 2.427596 6.110201 14.068694 29.469029 59.925674
2025-12-07 0.221319 0.775363 2.219213 5.819673 13.854134 29.810779 62.073029
2025-12-14 0.191986 0.713598 2.132539 5.791957 14.183530 31.218972 66.307599
2025-12-21 0.166684 0.657207 2.049381 5.760027 14.497356 32.614409 70.602417
2025-12-28 0.160679 0.661476 2.127231 6.127816 15.728009 35.936641 78.849496
2026-01-04 0.147959 0.639922 2.131015 6.311088 16.557266 38.491598 85.728333
2026-01-11 0.139119 0.629739 2.165129 6.575454 17.595711 41.547268 93.783014
2026-01-18 0.123091 0.588704 2.102806 6.579773 18.023560 43.343021 99.384819
2026-01-25 0.102810 0.524708 1.959595 6.347222 17.859844 43.856946 102.377301